Friday, March 28, 2008

Market Trends I Missed out on.


I was only less than 15... but had I been raised by an investor or by a stock-broker, I could have had an investment return to retire on.

Now, I'm not one to think in a mundane or very temporal or materialistic way. I'm really the opposite. But I admit... that while money and amassing of personal assets seems to run the world, one has to make a living and be ahead of the bills and family needs.
Here's what I missed out on:

1. An upstart small company (Microsoft) that JUST broke off from a Giant main-stream corporation (IBM).
The company only provided small services.
2. The new company started by selling Publicly their stock at 0.11 a share (11 CENTS A SHARE!!)
3. This was considered, "Penny Stock";
Highly risky and undesirable stock.
4. As we all know, MS (Microsoft) became a super-giant and went from 11 cents a share... to $58.85 a share..!!!
5. Oh, well. I was TOOO young. And who would have thought they would sky-rocket.

In truth. I'm not sure if (today) I would want to be associated with Microsoft as a person and individual. I'd be crazy not to believe or even consider... having been on that ten year hike and flight up the the Huge Market value; Monetization. Retire and concentrate on things I love. Video encoding and publishing (can't can't say that now), travel, understanding the world by visiting and experiencing instead of JUST text books and an occasional 2 or 3 day vacation.

I guess really. This isn't about Market trends... it's really about who I am. But enough with the mushy stuff... (funny that)

Lots of good things happening out there... Also, many stable investments as well.

Here are a little of my rantings as an Online Observer:
1. Common medals, minerals and alloys, are for the most part, very stable and good investment, with slow returns. (SAFE) --- Something I learned from my cousin from Austin Texas. (works for a major electronics/computing Corporation)

2. Already existing technologies (oh, that means investments in Technologies portion of the Market; Go NASDAQ) merging with Corporations or creating new competitive but leading standards and innovations.
a. This will be pricy, they (Corporations) already exist and are amongst the leaders of their industry.
b. Look at current events in regards to these Large Technolegies and how these events affect economy, demand and public presentation.

Now... My picks for this year (Not as any specialist or analyst or broker, just the Online-Observer) I spend a lot of time online in professional communities and online news/events reading, et. al. Now, my picks. (In descending order)

1. CISCO* (Over a protracted period of time will actually (in my Observer Opinion) be a better investment.) They are and will be leading the new Internet standards: IPv6 vs IPv4.*

2. RCA An existing technology, and owned by SONY BMG. Not the most sophisticated technology, but a very highly popular product. They are continuing to partner up with much larger companies/corporations to increase their alredy huge exposure AND interoperability with these larger companies/corporations.

3. PANASONIC You make up your own choice on this one. Lots of going ons within their corporation. They too are strategically partnering up, not with larger companies/corporations, but rather multiple smaller and upstart companies. Good tactic. Will a tree branch bundled up with sticks withstand the competition of a larger tree-limb..??

4. SONY Corporate Technologies. Yes. I know. They are already a HUGE and a highly priced share/stock public exchange. Most will not be able to afford to buy in. The time, to very expensively, "BUY, BUY, BUY" has come and gone; About 8mo - 1yr ago. With their release of Blue-Ray technology... holding 25-40GB of Hi, Hi resolution (720p-1080i, 1080p); No other competing industry company/corporation, were able to come close. Certainly not Microsoft's supported and ventured technology of HD. Microsoft bit the bullet on this one (HD investment). Sony's Blue-Ray has blown its competition out of the way. Blue-Ray is still highly priced, but will decrease in price to create a demand and then supply in HUGE amounts to the general public. That strategy alone, of being the only emerged standardized technology, opening its marketability will pay off. Again, only if you can afford its already highly monetized value. As has been seen by my observations (non-professional), Sony too is partnering up (without needing to) with other smaller companies/corporations to increase its already viability and interoperability and thus completely integrating and creating compatible technology; It's Blue-Ray. Some of these companies/corporations, I have already listed. Others are some of the smaller companies that are partnering up with those previously mentioned technology corporations. Blue-Ray is definitely here to stay. But we already knew that. Current Investors and stock-holders, tighten your seat-belts. Your Fun ride is about to get funner. For those of us that cannot buy into SONY, we'll just have to sit back and watch, and say: "Yep. We knew it was gonna happen, and sure is nice to see it and go SONY standard."

My last thought, and my Pick for the day:
1. LiveUniverse. An already known corporation, but one that is rapidly gaining increased momentum in Online Communities and Online Video Sharing communities as a provider and owner. In an industry where it has been said, Online content providers lack a Business,It has very quickly become a leader, and is very quickly becoming the standard for the Online community and Industry. It is also innovatively and obviously standardizing a Business model for online communities, content providers, streaming media and content delivery systems.

Until my next completed online observations, this is the Online-Observer bidding good night to ANY reader out there... hmmm no standard for me.




*This will really pay off in a protracted period of time. The time for IPv6 as a global Internet-Adressing schematic and standard, is no longer in the theoritical. Japan, parts of Europe and as of recent (not publicized, but public sector if one wants to do the research), the US Military.
a. Short end of it: The world is already starting to run out of IP addresses. It's a physical fact that we (The Modern World and IP users) will run out of IP allocation in the very near future. Unacceptable. Companies, Corporations and individuals will no longer be able to get on the internet without sharing their address with over several hundred or thousand users with little connectivity.

The world in general, WILL and is migrating towards IPv6. CISCO will have to, and IS producing physical network topology and equipment to assign IPv6 addresses; And mapping COMPLETELY, and almost exclusively supporting the new standards being migrating to. Thats a Fact. So... If you can afford it, and can ride their current roller-coaster of market value, the investment WILL pay-off within the next 5-10 yrs. Industry Standard by then.


**

Saturday, March 8, 2008

Death of a Streaming Video Content Delivery Giant: Is there Resurrection in Sight?



Death of a Streaming Video Content Delivery Giant: Is there Resurrection in Sight ?

You may be asking yourself, "Is this Stage6 he is talking about?" Indeed it is. Perhaps another question you may be asking as well, "This is old news. Why The BLOG now ?"


These are of course very good questions. I have been meaning to BLOG "Death of a Streaming Video Content Delivery Giant" I never did get around to the task. Many BLOGS and articles had already been written. I thought, "Dang it... beaten to the punch again !"

As some may know, I frequent the Google's (gotta love that Google) Finance pages to look at the latest stock quotes, happenings, Finance talks and forums created by stock holders to exchange thought on the viability or monetization of their investments. I too (as a beginning learner) have participated in some of these conversations.

Today, as is usual for me, I went to look at DivX Inc., daily actions and transactions. To help explain the activity in one's investments, there are always several articles or reference to articles to the side of the Corporation's Historical Stock Price Chart. As I looked at NASDAQ:DIVX trends and patterns for the week, I began to wonder why such a fluctuation within just a couple of days. As we all know, there was a sudden drop in the price of stock at the time that Jordan Greenhall announced his resignation from DivX, Inc. as CEO. The market value of stock stabilized quickly plateaued and stabilized for a while. This was around the Jordan Greenhall Steps down as CEO: approx. $2.00 drop in DivX price in stock, just before the 3rd and 4th Quarter Financial report and Fiscal Year revenue Outlook (below analyst's expectations.) The market seems to fluctuate some, but for the most part is fairly steady, yet lower since Jordan Greenhall's resignation.

Within a few months after Greenhall's resignation, Kevin Hell is announced by DivX, Inc. as the new CEO. At this point we see that the price of DivX Inc., stock takes a sudden jump up from $11.98 to $18.63 with in just a couple of days. For many that know their own financial portfolio, or frequent the finance pages, this is a HUGE investment payoff. Just the idea of a new CEO to stabilize the corporation, stabilizes DivX's market value. Still, as time and acquisitions and contracts with large electronic corporations such is Panasonic, Sony and Hauppage and others are made, DivX Inc. stock price begins a slow downward spiral, within a couple of months of the announcement of Kevin Hell as CEO. The month of February brought many influences to DivX worth in the market; From certification grants (seems that this should have brought DivX value up perhaps no correlation), Yet again below analyst's expectations of DivX, Inc. Quarterly revenue report. But perhaps, the biggest blow to DivX Inc. stock price, bringing along with it a panic in the market of product delivery viability, is its 3 day notice announcement of Stage6.com's closure. There were many rumors and innuendos for a while, but the former Stage6 users dispersed looking for new sanctuary as if evacuees and refugees. Funny as this may sound, some of the Stock holders followed suit and began selling off their shares and stock expecting an inevitable demise of a once HD Quality streaming media or otherwise (and without competition) content delivery Giant. Other stock holders stood firm, and purchased the sudden excess of lower value ($9.37 per share) stock of the "short investors". March introduced a wave of fluctuation and turbulence. Still, those that held on to their stock, didn't lose much as the fluctuations, for the most part were tidal, and kept an average price.

As of today, Friday March 07, 2008 (the price of stock per share at $9.40, with a closing day price of $9.37), LiveUniverse Inc. publically announced that it had made an offer to DivX Inc., BEFORE the shutdown of Stage6, an excess of $11,000,000.00 and options of promoting DivX and generating a $5 million DivX Inc. product sales. In addition, DivX Inc. AND Its Share holders would receive a 10% of the new company or entity (merged online video sights). Additional asset offerings, acquisitions and equity participations can be found online at PR newswire and WebService journal owned by Sys-con Media. There is reason for Stock holders to be upset over the announcement by DivX, Inc. for reasons behind the closure of Stage6; That the shut down of Stage6 (3 day notice) was in the best interest of DivX Inc. and of its investors and stock holders. Investors and stock holders had been in a situation to own 10% of a new entity as merged my an online media and online community giant. Not quite the HD quality contender, but online giant nonetheless. DivX Inc. Investors and Stage6 community members, were never given these facts. To date, the information continues to be withheld from DivX's "Investor Relations" announcements. Closure of one of DivX Inc. assets was not infact in the best interest of investors and share holders, as previously announced and devoid of certain facts. LiveUnivers Inc. officially released its proposal to stage6. UL, Inc. also tells us that upon making its offer to DivX, all communications ceased, and within 36 hours of cease of communications and discussions, DivX suddenly pulls the plug on its asset Stage6.

In a press release, earlier today, UL, Inc. stated that even today, DivX Inc. will not open any communications, and that any attempts are ignored. Opening dialog and communications for negotiations of a NOW closed and lost asset, would be in the best interest of DivX, Stage6 community, but importantly a huge interest and BEST interest of DivX, Inc. investors and share holders.

One of UL, Inc. sites, "LiveVideo.com" has recently created a channel called, "SaveStage6" (http://www.livevideo.com/SaveStage6). It is a site and Channel where investors, share holders and Stage6 community members can rally to and voice its concerns over the non-communication stance that DivX Inc. has placed itself with LiveUnivers Inc. It is not too late to recover from our losses. It is not too late to have an asset acquired for the better interest of investors AND former Stage6 Community Members.

BOTTOM DOLLAR:

Usually, in many things, I try to take a non-interference policy. In this instance, such a stance would be against the better interest of all that have a vested interest.

Please join us (SaveStage6) channel members. Help save Stage6.

Yes. There is life after death, where Stage6 is concerned.

Jerry Zambrano
Jerry.Zambrano@gmail.com
JaredZUSMC@hotmail.com